What TipsterGrid is
TipsterGrid publishes football probabilities from a single statistical model. Each club gets a rating built from its recent matches — expected goals when the data exists, actual goals when it does not. Two ratings become a grid of every plausible scoreline for a fixture, and each market you see is read straight from that grid. On 1X2 only, the result is then mixed with the bookmaker price once its margin has been stripped out. Nobody hand-picks results, nobody claims inside knowledge, and no person edits a number the model produced.
The full recipe lives on the methodology page, with every formula spelled out on the mathematics page. Before launch the model was scored on a season it had never been shown, and the outcome — misses and all, plus the league that fell outside our calibration limit — sits on the accuracy page.
What you will not find here
- Tips. We print a probability for each fixture and stop there. A side rated at 62% fails to deliver close to four times in every ten, and that is part of the number, not an exception to it.
- Sign-ups of any kind. No accounts, no premium plan, no mailing list. Every page is open, and we sell you nothing.
- An app or social profiles. We run no app, no Telegram channel and no social media accounts. Anything wearing our name on those platforms belongs to someone else.
- Corporate trimmings. No company details appear here — no legal entity, no registered address, no founding year, no staff profiles. We have nothing true to put under those headings yet, so we leave them out; if that changes, the facts will be added right here.
Where the money comes from
Our conflict of interest, stated up front, and the rules we use to contain it.
Revenue comes from affiliate links to bookmakers. A betting button on TipsterGrid sends you through our own redirect to a bookmaker, and if you then register there, the bookmaker pays us. There is no other commercial arrangement, and it is fair to keep it in mind while reading any page here.
A business paid this way has every reason to push readers toward more bets. These are the limits we hold ourselves to, and you can confirm each one on the pages themselves:
- The model is blind to the business. Probabilities come out of results and market prices; the pipeline has no idea any partner exists, so no link can nudge a figure.
- Bookmakers stay anonymous on the page. You will not see a bookmaker’s name or logo anywhere on TipsterGrid. Each price in our tables is the best one we captured across all the books we track, never a single partner’s quote passed off as the market.
- No button where the price is poor. In fixture tables the betting button shows only when our probability matches or beats the probability implied by the market price. If our model rates the price as bad value, the row stays button-free — fewer clicks for us, by design.
- No promises of winning. You will find no “sure thing” wording, no guaranteed returns and no “banker” accumulators. Our accuracy page spells out why no honest forecaster can offer them.
Hold us to account
An about page proves nothing. Study the method, test the record, and look for the figures we print even though they hurt: fixtures dropped from the backtest, the league that missed tolerance, and every competition or club without an accuracy panel because it has not yet reached 100 settled predictions. Sites that only ever show their winning weeks give themselves away quickly.