Why this pick: Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Bayer Leverkusen 10, St. Pauli 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
Bayer LeverkusenSt. Pauli
1.71
xG per 90
1.00
1.64
npxG per 90
0.78
14.9
PPDA
30.6
7.8
Deep completions per 90
4.4
1.48
xPTS per 90
0.81
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Bayer Leverkusen and St. Pauli recent form
Bayer Leverkusen
4W 1D 1L
St. Pauli
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Bayer Leverkusen at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-1-3
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 10
St. Pauli away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-8
- Win rate
- 9%
- Goals for / match
- 0.82
- Goals against / match
- 1.64
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 11
League matches this season before kick-off: Bayer Leverkusen at home only, St. Pauli away only.
Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Bayer Leverkusen 3 · draws 1 · St. Pauli 0.
75%
25%
0%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawsSt. Pauli
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-03 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3-0 | St. Pauli | DFB Pokal |
| 2025-09-27 | St. Pauli | 1-2 | Bayer Leverkusen | Bundesliga |
| 2025-04-20 | St. Pauli | 1-1 | Bayer Leverkusen | Bundesliga |
| 2024-12-07 | Bayer Leverkusen | 2-1 | St. Pauli | Bundesliga |
Before and after this match
- Bayer Leverkusen, previous: Borussia M.Gladbach v Bayer Leverkusen analysis
- Bayer Leverkusen, next: Union Berlin – Bayer Leverkusen, 2026-02-21
- St. Pauli, previous: St. Pauli vs VfB Stuttgart prediction
- St. Pauli, next: St. Pauli – Werder Bremen, 2026-02-22