Why this pick: Bayern Munich vs Mainz 05
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Bayern Munich 10, Mainz 05 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
Bayern MunichMainz 05
2.81
xG per 90
1.28
2.51
npxG per 90
1.13
10.5
PPDA
11.4
11.6
Deep completions per 90
6.4
2.56
xPTS per 90
1.02
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Bayern Munich and Mainz 05 recent form
Bayern Munich
5W 0D 1L
Mainz 05
0W 2D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Bayern Munich at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 4.14
- Goals against / match
- 0.57
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 7
Mainz 05 away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-4
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.17
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
League matches this season before kick-off: Bayern Munich at home only, Mainz 05 away only.
Bayern Munich vs Mainz 05 head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Bayern Munich 3 · draws 0 · Mainz 05 1.
75%
0%
25%
Bayern MunichDrawsMainz 05
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-26 | Bayern Munich | 3-0 | Mainz 05 | Bundesliga |
| 2024-12-14 | Mainz 05 | 2-1 | Bayern Munich | Bundesliga |
| 2024-03-09 | Bayern Munich | 8-1 | Mainz 05 | Bundesliga |
| 2023-10-21 | Mainz 05 | 1-3 | Bayern Munich | Bundesliga |
Before and after this match
- Bayern Munich, previous: VfB Stuttgart v Bayern Munich analysis
- Bayern Munich, next: FC Heidenheim vs Bayern Munich: odds and pick
- Mainz 05, previous: Mainz 05 – Borussia M.Gladbach, 2025-12-05
- Mainz 05, next: Mainz 05 v St. Pauli analysis