Why this pick: Borussia Dortmund vs Freiburg
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Borussia Dortmund 10, Freiburg 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
Borussia DortmundFreiburg
1.99
xG per 90
1.44
1.76
npxG per 90
1.44
12.8
PPDA
13.3
10.3
Deep completions per 90
4.8
1.52
xPTS per 90
1.29
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Borussia Dortmund and Freiburg recent form
Borussia Dortmund
4W 0D 2L
Freiburg
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Borussia Dortmund at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 11-2-2
- Win rate
- 73%
- Goals for / match
- 2.20
- Goals against / match
- 0.93
- Clean sheets
- 8 of 15
Freiburg away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-3-8
- Win rate
- 27%
- Goals for / match
- 1.07
- Goals against / match
- 1.87
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 15
League matches this season before kick-off: Borussia Dortmund at home only, Freiburg away only.
Borussia Dortmund vs Freiburg head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Borussia Dortmund 4 · draws 1 · Freiburg 0.
80%
20%
0%
Borussia DortmundDrawsFreiburg
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | Freiburg | 1-1 | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga |
| 2025-04-05 | Freiburg | 1-4 | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga |
| 2024-11-23 | Borussia Dortmund | 4-0 | Freiburg | Bundesliga |
| 2024-02-09 | Borussia Dortmund | 3-0 | Freiburg | Bundesliga |
| 2023-09-16 | Freiburg | 2-4 | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga |
Before and after this match
- Borussia Dortmund, previous: Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund prediction
- Borussia Dortmund, next: Borussia M.Gladbach vs Borussia Dortmund: odds and pick
- Freiburg, previous: Freiburg vs FC Heidenheim prediction
- Freiburg, next: Freiburg vs Wolfsburg prediction