Updated

Bundesliga

Freiburg vs Hamburger SV

Full time2 – 1

Why this pick: Freiburg vs Hamburger SV

Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Freiburg 10, Hamburger SV 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.

FreiburgHamburger SV
1.44 xG per 90 1.38
1.37 npxG per 90 1.22
13.6 PPDA 14.8
6.5 Deep completions per 90 5.0
1.37 xPTS per 90 1.33

xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.

Freiburg and Hamburger SV recent form

Freiburg 4W 1D 1L
Hamburger SV 2W 2D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Freiburg at home

Record (W-D-L)
3-3-1
Win rate
43%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
1.29
Clean sheets
1 of 7

Hamburger SV away

Record (W-D-L)
0-2-5
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.43
Goals against / match
2.29
Clean sheets
2 of 7

League matches this season before kick-off: Freiburg at home only, Hamburger SV away only.

Before and after this match