Why this pick: Freiburg vs Mainz 05
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Freiburg 10, Mainz 05 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
FreiburgMainz 05
1.19
xG per 90
1.42
1.04
npxG per 90
1.19
15.8
PPDA
9.2
4.6
Deep completions per 90
7.9
1.28
xPTS per 90
1.26
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Freiburg and Mainz 05 recent form
Freiburg
3W 2D 1L
Mainz 05
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Freiburg at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-1
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
Mainz 05 away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
League matches this season before kick-off: Freiburg at home only, Mainz 05 away only.
Freiburg vs Mainz 05 head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Freiburg 1 · draws 3 · Mainz 05 0.
25%
75%
0%
FreiburgDrawsMainz 05
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-15 | Mainz 05 | 2-2 | Freiburg | Bundesliga |
| 2024-11-03 | Freiburg | 0-0 | Mainz 05 | Bundesliga |
| 2024-04-21 | Freiburg | 1-1 | Mainz 05 | Bundesliga |
| 2023-12-03 | Mainz 05 | 0-1 | Freiburg | Bundesliga |
Before and after this match
- Freiburg, previous: Bayern Munich – Freiburg, 2025-11-22
- Freiburg, next: FC Heidenheim v Freiburg analysis
- Mainz 05, previous: Mainz 05 vs Hoffenheim: odds and pick
- Mainz 05, next: Mainz 05 – Borussia M.Gladbach, 2025-12-05