Updated

Bundesliga

Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen

Full time3 – 2

Why this pick: Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen

Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Hamburger SV 10, Werder Bremen 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.

Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
1.47 xG per 90 1.35
1.39 npxG per 90 1.20
15.8 PPDA 17.4
5.2 Deep completions per 90 6.4
1.26 xPTS per 90 1.18

xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.

Hamburger SV and Werder Bremen recent form

Hamburger SV 2W 2D 2L
Werder Bremen 2W 3D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Hamburger SV at home

Record (W-D-L)
3-1-2
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
1.50
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
1 of 6

Werder Bremen away

Record (W-D-L)
1-2-3
Win rate
17%
Goals for / match
1.33
Goals against / match
2.17
Clean sheets
1 of 6

League matches this season before kick-off: Hamburger SV at home only, Werder Bremen away only.

Before and after this match