Why this pick: Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Hoffenheim 10, Bayer Leverkusen 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
HoffenheimBayer Leverkusen
1.97
xG per 90
2.23
1.89
npxG per 90
2.07
7.9
PPDA
15.7
9.3
Deep completions per 90
9.0
1.76
xPTS per 90
1.72
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Hoffenheim and Bayer Leverkusen recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Hoffenheim at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-0-3
- Win rate
- 62%
- Goals for / match
- 2.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 8
Bayer Leverkusen away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-2
- Win rate
- 57%
- Goals for / match
- 2.14
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 7
League matches this season before kick-off: Hoffenheim at home only, Bayer Leverkusen away only.
Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Hoffenheim 2 · draws 1 · Bayer Leverkusen 6.
22%
11%
67%
HoffenheimDrawsBayer Leverkusen
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-23 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1-2 | Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
| 2025-02-02 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3-1 | Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
| 2024-09-14 | Hoffenheim | 1-4 | Bayer Leverkusen | Bundesliga |
| 2024-03-30 | Bayer Leverkusen | 2-1 | Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
| 2023-11-04 | Hoffenheim | 2-3 | Bayer Leverkusen | Bundesliga |
| 2023-02-11 | Hoffenheim | 1-3 | Bayer Leverkusen | Bundesliga |
| 2022-08-20 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0-3 | Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
| 2022-05-07 | Hoffenheim | 2-4 | Bayer Leverkusen | Bundesliga |
| 2021-12-15 | Bayer Leverkusen | 2-2 | Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
Before and after this match
- Hoffenheim, previous: Hoffenheim vs Borussia M.Gladbach prediction
- Hoffenheim, next: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hoffenheim: odds and pick
- Bayer Leverkusen, previous: Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart prediction
- Bayer Leverkusen, next: Bayer Leverkusen – Werder Bremen, 2026-01-24