Why this pick: Hoffenheim vs Freiburg
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Hoffenheim 10, Freiburg 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
HoffenheimFreiburg
1.87
xG per 90
1.73
1.72
npxG per 90
1.50
8.9
PPDA
11.0
7.6
Deep completions per 90
6.5
1.57
xPTS per 90
1.43
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Hoffenheim and Freiburg recent form
Hoffenheim
5W 0D 1L
Freiburg
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Hoffenheim at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-0-3
- Win rate
- 70%
- Goals for / match
- 2.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.30
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Freiburg away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-6
- Win rate
- 18%
- Goals for / match
- 1.18
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 11
League matches this season before kick-off: Hoffenheim at home only, Freiburg away only.
Hoffenheim vs Freiburg head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Hoffenheim 0 · draws 2 · Freiburg 3.
0%
40%
60%
HoffenheimDrawsFreiburg
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-28 | Freiburg | 1-1 | Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
| 2025-04-19 | Freiburg | 3-2 | Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
| 2024-12-08 | Hoffenheim | 1-1 | Freiburg | Bundesliga |
| 2024-01-20 | Freiburg | 3-2 | Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
| 2023-08-19 | Hoffenheim | 1-2 | Freiburg | Bundesliga |
Before and after this match
- Hoffenheim, previous: Bayern Munich vs Hoffenheim prediction
- Hoffenheim, next: FC Cologne vs Hoffenheim prediction
- Freiburg, previous: Freiburg – Werder Bremen, 2026-02-07
- Freiburg, next: Freiburg vs Borussia M.Gladbach prediction