Why this pick: Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Hoffenheim 10, St. Pauli 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
HoffenheimSt. Pauli
1.92
xG per 90
1.01
1.77
npxG per 90
0.78
9.0
PPDA
28.5
8.9
Deep completions per 90
4.3
1.59
xPTS per 90
0.83
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Hoffenheim and St. Pauli recent form
Hoffenheim
4W 1D 1L
St. Pauli
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Hoffenheim at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-0-3
- Win rate
- 73%
- Goals for / match
- 2.45
- Goals against / match
- 1.18
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 11
St. Pauli away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-9
- Win rate
- 8%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.83
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 12
League matches this season before kick-off: Hoffenheim at home only, St. Pauli away only.
Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Hoffenheim 1 · draws 1 · St. Pauli 2.
25%
25%
50%
HoffenheimDrawsSt. Pauli
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 | St. Pauli | 1-1 | Hoffenheim | DFB Pokal |
| 2025-10-19 | St. Pauli | 0-3 | Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
| 2025-03-14 | St. Pauli | 1-0 | Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
| 2024-11-02 | Hoffenheim | 0-2 | St. Pauli | Bundesliga |
Before and after this match
- Hoffenheim, previous: FC Cologne vs Hoffenheim prediction
- Hoffenheim, next: FC Heidenheim vs Hoffenheim: odds and pick
- St. Pauli, previous: St. Pauli – Werder Bremen, 2026-02-22
- St. Pauli, next: St. Pauli vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction