Why this pick: Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Hoffenheim 10, VfB Stuttgart 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
HoffenheimVfB Stuttgart
1.95
xG per 90
2.22
1.79
npxG per 90
2.07
7.4
PPDA
12.6
10.5
Deep completions per 90
10.5
1.78
xPTS per 90
1.73
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Hoffenheim and VfB Stuttgart recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Hoffenheim at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-1-5
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 2.07
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 15
VfB Stuttgart away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-3-6
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 2.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.87
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 15
League matches this season before kick-off: Hoffenheim at home only, VfB Stuttgart away only.
Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Hoffenheim 2 · draws 5 · VfB Stuttgart 2.
22%
56%
22%
HoffenheimDrawsVfB Stuttgart
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-20 | VfB Stuttgart | 0-0 | Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
| 2025-02-23 | Hoffenheim | 1-1 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| 2024-10-06 | VfB Stuttgart | 1-1 | Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
| 2024-03-16 | Hoffenheim | 0-3 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| 2023-10-28 | VfB Stuttgart | 2-3 | Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
| 2023-05-27 | VfB Stuttgart | 1-1 | Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
| 2023-01-24 | Hoffenheim | 2-2 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| 2022-02-25 | Hoffenheim | 2-1 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| 2021-10-02 | VfB Stuttgart | 3-1 | Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
Before and after this match
- Hoffenheim, previous: Hamburger SV – Hoffenheim, 2026-04-25
- Hoffenheim, next: Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen: odds and pick
- VfB Stuttgart, previous: VfB Stuttgart v Werder Bremen analysis
- VfB Stuttgart, next: VfB Stuttgart – Bayer Leverkusen, 2026-05-09