Why this pick: Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Mainz 05 10, VfB Stuttgart 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
Mainz 05VfB Stuttgart
2.16
xG per 90
2.43
1.78
npxG per 90
2.28
15.0
PPDA
11.4
6.4
Deep completions per 90
9.4
1.70
xPTS per 90
2.10
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Mainz 05 and VfB Stuttgart recent form
Mainz 05
3W 2D 1L
VfB Stuttgart
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Mainz 05 at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-4-5
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.08
- Goals against / match
- 1.17
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 12
VfB Stuttgart away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-2-5
- Win rate
- 42%
- Goals for / match
- 2.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 12
League matches this season before kick-off: Mainz 05 at home only, VfB Stuttgart away only.
Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Mainz 05 1 · draws 1 · VfB Stuttgart 4.
17%
17%
66%
Mainz 05DrawsVfB Stuttgart
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-29 | Mainz 05 | 0-2 | VfB Stuttgart | DFB Pokal |
| 2025-10-26 | VfB Stuttgart | 2-1 | Mainz 05 | Bundesliga |
| 2025-01-25 | Mainz 05 | 2-0 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| 2024-08-31 | VfB Stuttgart | 3-3 | Mainz 05 | Bundesliga |
| 2024-02-11 | VfB Stuttgart | 3-1 | Mainz 05 | Bundesliga |
| 2023-09-16 | Mainz 05 | 1-3 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
Before and after this match
- Mainz 05, previous: Bayer Leverkusen vs Mainz 05 prediction
- Mainz 05, next: Werder Bremen vs Mainz 05 prediction
- VfB Stuttgart, previous: VfB Stuttgart – Wolfsburg, 2026-03-01
- VfB Stuttgart, next: VfB Stuttgart v RasenBallsport Leipzig analysis