Why this pick: St. Pauli vs Freiburg
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (St. Pauli 10, Freiburg 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
St. PauliFreiburg
0.97
xG per 90
1.22
0.74
npxG per 90
1.15
24.1
PPDA
12.7
4.5
Deep completions per 90
4.2
0.92
xPTS per 90
1.07
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
St. Pauli and Freiburg recent form
St. Pauli
3W 1D 2L
Freiburg
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
St. Pauli at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-4-4
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.08
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 12
Freiburg away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-8
- Win rate
- 15%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.08
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 13
League matches this season before kick-off: St. Pauli at home only, Freiburg away only.
St. Pauli vs Freiburg head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: St. Pauli 1 · draws 0 · Freiburg 2.
33%
0%
67%
St. PauliDrawsFreiburg
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-09 | Freiburg | 2-1 | St. Pauli | Bundesliga |
| 2025-02-15 | St. Pauli | 0-1 | Freiburg | Bundesliga |
| 2024-09-28 | Freiburg | 0-3 | St. Pauli | Bundesliga |
Before and after this match
- St. Pauli, previous: Borussia M.Gladbach v St. Pauli analysis
- St. Pauli, next: Union Berlin vs St. Pauli: odds and pick
- Freiburg, previous: Freiburg – Union Berlin, 2026-03-15
- Freiburg, next: Freiburg v Bayern Munich analysis