Why this pick: VfB Stuttgart vs Freiburg
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (VfB Stuttgart 10, Freiburg 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
VfB StuttgartFreiburg
2.08
xG per 90
1.81
1.92
npxG per 90
1.59
11.2
PPDA
11.2
7.8
Deep completions per 90
6.8
1.72
xPTS per 90
1.58
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
VfB Stuttgart and Freiburg recent form
VfB Stuttgart
4W 1D 1L
Freiburg
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
VfB Stuttgart at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-2-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.44
- Goals against / match
- 1.22
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 9
Freiburg away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-5
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.30
- Goals against / match
- 2.10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
League matches this season before kick-off: VfB Stuttgart at home only, Freiburg away only.
VfB Stuttgart vs Freiburg head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: VfB Stuttgart 3 · draws 0 · Freiburg 2.
60%
0%
40%
VfB StuttgartDrawsFreiburg
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-13 | Freiburg | 3-1 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| 2025-01-18 | VfB Stuttgart | 4-0 | Freiburg | Bundesliga |
| 2024-08-24 | Freiburg | 3-1 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| 2024-02-03 | Freiburg | 1-3 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| 2023-09-02 | VfB Stuttgart | 5-0 | Freiburg | Bundesliga |
Before and after this match
- VfB Stuttgart, previous: Borussia M.Gladbach vs VfB Stuttgart: odds and pick
- VfB Stuttgart, next: St. Pauli vs VfB Stuttgart prediction
- Freiburg, previous: Freiburg vs FC Cologne prediction
- Freiburg, next: Freiburg – Werder Bremen, 2026-02-07