Why this pick: Alaves vs Celta Vigo
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Alaves 10, Celta Vigo 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
AlavesCelta Vigo
1.31
xG per 90
1.27
1.09
npxG per 90
1.19
9.6
PPDA
15.6
4.2
Deep completions per 90
8.6
1.62
xPTS per 90
1.16
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Alaves and Celta Vigo recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Alaves at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
Celta Vigo away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-1
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
League matches this season before kick-off: Alaves at home only, Celta Vigo away only.
Alaves vs Celta Vigo head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Alaves 1 · draws 2 · Celta Vigo 5.
12%
25%
63%
AlavesDrawsCelta Vigo
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-27 | Alaves | 1-1 | Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| 2024-08-16 | Celta Vigo | 2-1 | Alaves | La Liga |
| 2024-04-27 | Alaves | 3-0 | Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| 2023-09-28 | Celta Vigo | 1-1 | Alaves | La Liga |
| 2022-05-07 | Celta Vigo | 4-0 | Alaves | La Liga |
| 2021-11-27 | Alaves | 1-2 | Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| 2021-04-04 | Alaves | 1-3 | Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| 2020-12-20 | Celta Vigo | 2-0 | Alaves | La Liga |
Before and after this match
- Alaves, previous: Girona vs Alaves prediction
- Alaves, next: Barcelona – Alaves, 2025-11-29
- Celta Vigo, previous: Celta Vigo vs Barcelona prediction
- Celta Vigo, next: Celta Vigo v Espanyol analysis