Why this pick: Alaves vs Real Madrid
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Alaves 10, Real Madrid 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
AlavesReal Madrid
1.56
xG per 90
2.55
1.41
npxG per 90
2.17
9.4
PPDA
9.9
4.3
Deep completions per 90
10.4
1.65
xPTS per 90
2.13
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Alaves and Real Madrid recent form
Alaves
3W 0D 3L
Real Madrid
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Alaves at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 0.88
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 8
Real Madrid away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-3-1
- Win rate
- 56%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.11
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 9
League matches this season before kick-off: Alaves at home only, Real Madrid away only.
Alaves vs Real Madrid head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Alaves 0 · draws 0 · Real Madrid 4.
0%
0%
100%
AlavesDrawsReal Madrid
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-13 | Alaves | 0-1 | Real Madrid | La Liga |
| 2024-09-24 | Real Madrid | 3-2 | Alaves | La Liga |
| 2024-05-14 | Real Madrid | 5-0 | Alaves | La Liga |
| 2023-12-21 | Alaves | 0-1 | Real Madrid | La Liga |
Before and after this match
- Alaves, previous: Alaves – Real Sociedad, 2025-12-06
- Alaves, next: Osasuna – Alaves, 2025-12-20
- Real Madrid, previous: Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo: odds and pick
- Real Madrid, next: Real Madrid v Sevilla analysis