Why this pick: Alaves vs Villarreal
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Alaves 10, Villarreal 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
AlavesVillarreal
1.61
xG per 90
1.54
1.53
npxG per 90
1.39
9.8
PPDA
14.1
4.3
Deep completions per 90
7.3
1.21
xPTS per 90
1.33
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Alaves and Villarreal recent form
Alaves
0W 2D 4L
Villarreal
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Alaves at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-4-4
- Win rate
- 38%
- Goals for / match
- 1.23
- Goals against / match
- 1.15
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 13
Villarreal away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-2-5
- Win rate
- 46%
- Goals for / match
- 1.46
- Goals against / match
- 1.54
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 13
League matches this season before kick-off: Alaves at home only, Villarreal away only.
Alaves vs Villarreal head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Alaves 3 · draws 2 · Villarreal 4.
33%
22%
45%
AlavesDrawsVillarreal
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-10 | Villarreal | 3-1 | Alaves | La Liga |
| 2025-03-08 | Alaves | 1-0 | Villarreal | La Liga |
| 2024-11-09 | Villarreal | 3-0 | Alaves | La Liga |
| 2024-02-10 | Alaves | 1-1 | Villarreal | La Liga |
| 2023-10-22 | Villarreal | 1-1 | Alaves | La Liga |
| 2022-04-30 | Alaves | 2-1 | Villarreal | La Liga |
| 2021-12-21 | Villarreal | 5-2 | Alaves | La Liga |
| 2021-04-21 | Alaves | 2-1 | Villarreal | La Liga |
| 2020-09-30 | Villarreal | 3-1 | Alaves | La Liga |
Before and after this match
- Alaves, previous: Valencia – Alaves, 2026-03-08
- Alaves, next: Celta Vigo vs Alaves prediction
- Villarreal, previous: Villarreal v Elche analysis
- Villarreal, next: Villarreal – Real Sociedad, 2026-03-20