Why this pick: Atletico Madrid vs Valencia
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Atletico Madrid 10, Valencia 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
Atletico MadridValencia
1.87
xG per 90
1.19
1.72
npxG per 90
1.12
12.1
PPDA
14.1
9.1
Deep completions per 90
3.8
1.72
xPTS per 90
1.13
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Atletico Madrid and Valencia recent form
Atletico Madrid
4W 0D 2L
Valencia
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Atletico Madrid at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-1-0
- Win rate
- 88%
- Goals for / match
- 2.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 8
Valencia away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.57
- Goals against / match
- 2.29
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
League matches this season before kick-off: Atletico Madrid at home only, Valencia away only.
Atletico Madrid vs Valencia head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Atletico Madrid 3 · draws 0 · Valencia 1.
75%
0%
25%
Atletico MadridDrawsValencia
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-22 | Valencia | 0-3 | Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
| 2024-09-15 | Atletico Madrid | 3-0 | Valencia | La Liga |
| 2024-01-28 | Atletico Madrid | 2-0 | Valencia | La Liga |
| 2023-09-16 | Valencia | 3-0 | Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
Before and after this match
- Atletico Madrid, previous: Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid: odds and pick
- Atletico Madrid, next: Girona vs Atletico Madrid: odds and pick
- Valencia, previous: Valencia – Sevilla, 2025-12-07
- Valencia, next: Valencia v Mallorca analysis