Why this pick: Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Barcelona 10, Atletico Madrid 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
BarcelonaAtletico Madrid
2.51
xG per 90
2.36
2.37
npxG per 90
2.13
8.1
PPDA
12.8
12.4
Deep completions per 90
10.3
2.02
xPTS per 90
2.14
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Barcelona and Atletico Madrid recent form
Barcelona
4W 1D 1L
Atletico Madrid
6W 0D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Barcelona at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 3.29
- Goals against / match
- 0.57
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 7
Atletico Madrid away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 0.83
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
League matches this season before kick-off: Barcelona at home only, Atletico Madrid away only.
Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Barcelona 4 · draws 1 · Atletico Madrid 1.
67%
17%
16%
BarcelonaDrawsAtletico Madrid
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-02 | Atletico Madrid | 0-1 | Barcelona | Copa del Rey |
| 2025-03-16 | Atletico Madrid | 2-4 | Barcelona | La Liga |
| 2025-02-25 | Barcelona | 4-4 | Atletico Madrid | Copa del Rey |
| 2024-12-21 | Barcelona | 1-2 | Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
| 2024-03-17 | Atletico Madrid | 0-3 | Barcelona | La Liga |
| 2023-12-03 | Barcelona | 1-0 | Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
Before and after this match
- Barcelona, previous: Barcelona – Alaves, 2025-11-29
- Barcelona, next: Real Betis v Barcelona analysis
- Atletico Madrid, previous: Atletico Madrid vs Real Oviedo: odds and pick
- Atletico Madrid, next: Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid: odds and pick