Why this pick: Barcelona vs Real Madrid
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Barcelona 10, Real Madrid 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
BarcelonaReal Madrid
2.53
xG per 90
1.70
2.31
npxG per 90
1.62
6.9
PPDA
11.3
9.6
Deep completions per 90
10.3
2.14
xPTS per 90
1.73
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Barcelona and Real Madrid recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Barcelona at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 17-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 3.06
- Goals against / match
- 0.53
- Clean sheets
- 9 of 17
Real Madrid away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 10-4-3
- Win rate
- 59%
- Goals for / match
- 1.82
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 17
League matches this season before kick-off: Barcelona at home only, Real Madrid away only.
Barcelona vs Real Madrid head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Barcelona 6 · draws 0 · Real Madrid 4.
60%
0%
40%
BarcelonaDrawsReal Madrid
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-11 | Barcelona | 3-2 | Real Madrid | Super Cup |
| 2025-10-26 | Real Madrid | 2-1 | Barcelona | La Liga |
| 2025-05-11 | Barcelona | 4-3 | Real Madrid | La Liga |
| 2025-04-26 | Barcelona | 3-2 | Real Madrid | Copa del Rey |
| 2025-01-12 | Real Madrid | 2-5 | Barcelona | Super Cup |
| 2024-10-26 | Real Madrid | 0-4 | Barcelona | La Liga |
| 2024-08-03 | Barcelona | 2-1 | Real Madrid | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2024-04-21 | Real Madrid | 3-2 | Barcelona | La Liga |
| 2024-01-14 | Real Madrid | 4-1 | Barcelona | Super Cup |
| 2023-10-28 | Barcelona | 1-2 | Real Madrid | La Liga |
Before and after this match
- Barcelona, previous: Osasuna vs Barcelona: odds and pick
- Barcelona, next: Alaves vs Barcelona prediction
- Real Madrid, previous: Espanyol vs Real Madrid: odds and pick
- Real Madrid, next: Real Madrid vs Real Oviedo prediction