Why this pick: Elche vs Rayo Vallecano
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Elche 10, Rayo Vallecano 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
ElcheRayo Vallecano
1.19
xG per 90
1.49
1.12
npxG per 90
1.49
9.2
PPDA
8.6
6.0
Deep completions per 90
5.1
0.98
xPTS per 90
1.67
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Elche and Rayo Vallecano recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Elche at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-4-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.62
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 8
Rayo Vallecano away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-5
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 9
League matches this season before kick-off: Elche at home only, Rayo Vallecano away only.
Elche vs Rayo Vallecano head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Elche 3 · draws 2 · Rayo Vallecano 3.
38%
25%
37%
ElcheDrawsRayo Vallecano
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-29 | Elche | 4-0 | Rayo Vallecano | La Liga |
| 2022-10-03 | Rayo Vallecano | 2-1 | Elche | La Liga |
| 2022-02-18 | Elche | 2-1 | Rayo Vallecano | La Liga |
| 2021-10-17 | Rayo Vallecano | 2-1 | Elche | La Liga |
| 2021-01-16 | Rayo Vallecano | 2-0 | Elche | Copa del Rey |
| 2020-03-08 | Rayo Vallecano | 2-3 | Elche | Segunda División |
| 2019-10-05 | Elche | 1-1 | Rayo Vallecano | Segunda División |
| 2017-01-21 | Rayo Vallecano | 1-1 | Elche | Segunda División |
Before and after this match
- Elche, previous: Mallorca vs Elche: odds and pick
- Elche, next: Elche vs Villarreal: odds and pick
- Rayo Vallecano, previous: Rayo Vallecano – Real Betis, 2025-12-15
- Rayo Vallecano, next: Rayo Vallecano vs Getafe prediction