Why this pick: Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Real Madrid 10, Atletico Madrid 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
Real MadridAtletico Madrid
2.00
xG per 90
1.64
1.63
npxG per 90
1.64
11.0
PPDA
9.9
10.0
Deep completions per 90
10.8
1.97
xPTS per 90
1.63
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Real Madrid at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 12-0-2
- Win rate
- 86%
- Goals for / match
- 2.36
- Goals against / match
- 0.71
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 14
Atletico Madrid away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-5-4
- Win rate
- 31%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 13
League matches this season before kick-off: Real Madrid at home only, Atletico Madrid away only.
Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Real Madrid 3 · draws 3 · Atletico Madrid 4.
30%
30%
40%
Real MadridDrawsAtletico Madrid
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-08 | Atletico Madrid | 1-2 | Real Madrid | Super Cup |
| 2025-09-27 | Atletico Madrid | 5-2 | Real Madrid | La Liga |
| 2025-03-12 | Atletico Madrid | 1-0 | Real Madrid | UEFA Champions League |
| 2025-03-04 | Real Madrid | 2-1 | Atletico Madrid | UEFA Champions League |
| 2025-02-08 | Real Madrid | 1-1 | Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
| 2024-09-29 | Atletico Madrid | 1-1 | Real Madrid | La Liga |
| 2024-02-04 | Real Madrid | 1-1 | Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
| 2024-01-18 | Atletico Madrid | 4-2 | Real Madrid | Copa del Rey |
| 2024-01-10 | Real Madrid | 5-3 | Atletico Madrid | Super Cup |
| 2023-09-24 | Atletico Madrid | 3-1 | Real Madrid | La Liga |
Before and after this match
- Real Madrid, previous: Real Madrid vs Elche: odds and pick
- Real Madrid, next: Mallorca – Real Madrid, 2026-04-04
- Atletico Madrid, previous: Atletico Madrid – Getafe, 2026-03-14
- Atletico Madrid, next: Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona: odds and pick