Why this pick: Villarreal vs Alaves
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Villarreal 10, Alaves 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
VillarrealAlaves
1.86
xG per 90
1.45
1.79
npxG per 90
1.38
18.0
PPDA
10.7
7.7
Deep completions per 90
3.9
1.76
xPTS per 90
1.25
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Villarreal and Alaves recent form
Villarreal
2W 1D 3L
Alaves
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Villarreal at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-1-1
- Win rate
- 78%
- Goals for / match
- 2.22
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 9
Alaves away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-6
- Win rate
- 12%
- Goals for / match
- 0.38
- Goals against / match
- 1.38
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 8
League matches this season before kick-off: Villarreal at home only, Alaves away only.
Villarreal vs Alaves head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Villarreal 3 · draws 2 · Alaves 3.
38%
25%
37%
VillarrealDrawsAlaves
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-08 | Alaves | 1-0 | Villarreal | La Liga |
| 2024-11-09 | Villarreal | 3-0 | Alaves | La Liga |
| 2024-02-10 | Alaves | 1-1 | Villarreal | La Liga |
| 2023-10-22 | Villarreal | 1-1 | Alaves | La Liga |
| 2022-04-30 | Alaves | 2-1 | Villarreal | La Liga |
| 2021-12-21 | Villarreal | 5-2 | Alaves | La Liga |
| 2021-04-21 | Alaves | 2-1 | Villarreal | La Liga |
| 2020-09-30 | Villarreal | 3-1 | Alaves | La Liga |
Before and after this match
- Villarreal, previous: Elche vs Villarreal: odds and pick
- Villarreal, next: Real Betis v Villarreal analysis
- Alaves, previous: Alaves vs Real Oviedo: odds and pick
- Alaves, next: Atletico Madrid vs Alaves prediction