Why this pick: Lille vs Marseille
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Lille 10, Marseille 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
LilleMarseille
1.97
xG per 90
2.15
1.81
npxG per 90
2.00
10.0
PPDA
10.9
10.9
Deep completions per 90
7.8
1.74
xPTS per 90
2.04
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Lille and Marseille recent form
Lille
4W 0D 2L
Marseille
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Lille at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-1-1
- Win rate
- 71%
- Goals for / match
- 2.14
- Goals against / match
- 0.86
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 7
Marseille away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-3
- Win rate
- 57%
- Goals for / match
- 1.71
- Goals against / match
- 0.86
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 7
League matches this season before kick-off: Lille at home only, Marseille away only.
Lille vs Marseille head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Lille 1 · draws 4 · Marseille 0.
20%
80%
0%
LilleDrawsMarseille
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-04 | Lille | 1-1 | Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| 2025-01-14 | Marseille | 1-1 | Lille | Coupe de France |
| 2024-12-14 | Marseille | 1-1 | Lille | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-04-05 | Lille | 3-1 | Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-11-04 | Marseille | 0-0 | Lille | Ligue 1 |
Before and after this match
- Lille, previous: Le Havre v Lille analysis
- Lille, next: Auxerre vs Lille: odds and pick
- Marseille, previous: Marseille vs Toulouse: odds and pick
- Marseille, next: Marseille v Monaco analysis