Why this pick: Lille vs Nice
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Lille 10, Nice 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
LilleNice
1.67
xG per 90
1.39
1.44
npxG per 90
1.39
11.5
PPDA
14.0
8.6
Deep completions per 90
5.7
1.87
xPTS per 90
1.12
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Lille and Nice recent form
Lille
4W 0D 2L
Nice
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Lille at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-3-3
- Win rate
- 57%
- Goals for / match
- 1.64
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 14
Nice away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-10
- Win rate
- 21%
- Goals for / match
- 1.14
- Goals against / match
- 2.14
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 14
League matches this season before kick-off: Lille at home only, Nice away only.
Lille vs Nice head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Lille 2 · draws 4 · Nice 4.
20%
40%
40%
LilleDrawsNice
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-29 | Nice | 2-0 | Lille | Ligue 1 |
| 2025-01-17 | Lille | 2-1 | Nice | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-11-10 | Nice | 2-2 | Lille | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-05-19 | Lille | 2-2 | Nice | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-08-12 | Nice | 1-1 | Lille | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-08-11 | Nice | 1-1 | Lille | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-01-29 | Nice | 1-0 | Lille | Ligue 1 |
| 2022-08-31 | Lille | 1-2 | Nice | Ligue 1 |
| 2022-05-14 | Nice | 1-3 | Lille | Ligue 1 |
| 2021-08-14 | Lille | 0-4 | Nice | Ligue 1 |
Before and after this match
- Lille, previous: Toulouse vs Lille: odds and pick
- Lille, next: Paris FC – Lille, 2026-04-26
- Nice, previous: Nice v Le Havre analysis
- Nice, next: Marseille vs Nice: odds and pick