Why this pick: Lorient vs Toulouse
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Lorient 10, Toulouse 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
LorientToulouse
1.48
xG per 90
1.57
1.23
npxG per 90
1.19
23.6
PPDA
14.5
5.3
Deep completions per 90
5.6
1.06
xPTS per 90
1.45
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Lorient and Toulouse recent form
Lorient
1W 2D 3L
Toulouse
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Lorient at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-1
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 2.40
- Goals against / match
- 2.40
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
Toulouse away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-3
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
League matches this season before kick-off: Lorient at home only, Toulouse away only.
Lorient vs Toulouse head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Lorient 1 · draws 4 · Toulouse 3.
12%
50%
38%
LorientDrawsToulouse
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-28 | Lorient | 1-2 | Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-12-03 | Toulouse | 1-1 | Lorient | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-04-23 | Lorient | 0-1 | Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| 2022-08-21 | Toulouse | 2-2 | Lorient | Ligue 1 |
| 2018-10-31 | Toulouse | 0-1 | Lorient | Coupe de la Ligue |
| 2017-02-08 | Lorient | 1-1 | Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| 2016-12-10 | Toulouse | 3-2 | Lorient | Ligue 1 |
| 2016-04-16 | Lorient | 1-1 | Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
Before and after this match
- Lorient, previous: Lens – Lorient, 2025-11-02
- Lorient, next: Nantes – Lorient, 2025-11-23
- Toulouse, previous: Toulouse vs Le Havre prediction
- Toulouse, next: Toulouse v Angers analysis