Why this pick: Lyon vs Paris Saint Germain
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Lyon 10, Paris Saint Germain 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
LyonParis Saint Germain
1.69
xG per 90
1.93
1.54
npxG per 90
1.63
10.7
PPDA
7.2
6.1
Deep completions per 90
11.4
1.75
xPTS per 90
1.98
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Lyon and Paris Saint Germain recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Lyon at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-1
- Win rate
- 80%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
Paris Saint Germain away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
League matches this season before kick-off: Lyon at home only, Paris Saint Germain away only.
Lyon vs Paris Saint Germain head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Lyon 1 · draws 1 · Paris Saint Germain 6.
12%
12%
76%
LyonDrawsParis Saint Germain
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-23 | Lyon | 2-3 | Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-12-15 | Paris Saint Germain | 3-1 | Lyon | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-05-25 | Lyon | 1-2 | Paris Saint Germain | Coupe de France |
| 2024-04-21 | Paris Saint Germain | 4-1 | Lyon | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-09-03 | Lyon | 1-4 | Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-04-02 | Paris Saint Germain | 0-1 | Lyon | Ligue 1 |
| 2022-09-18 | Lyon | 0-1 | Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
| 2022-01-09 | Lyon | 1-1 | Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
Before and after this match
- Lyon, previous: Brest – Lyon, 2025-11-02
- Lyon, next: Auxerre vs Lyon: odds and pick
- Paris Saint Germain, previous: Paris Saint Germain – Nice, 2025-11-01
- Paris Saint Germain, next: Paris Saint Germain v Le Havre analysis