Why this pick: Metz vs Lorient
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Metz 10, Lorient 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
MetzLorient
1.12
xG per 90
1.47
1.04
npxG per 90
1.31
14.8
PPDA
18.5
3.7
Deep completions per 90
4.2
0.95
xPTS per 90
1.10
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Metz and Lorient recent form
Metz
0W 3D 3L
Lorient
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Metz at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-4-10
- Win rate
- 12%
- Goals for / match
- 0.94
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 16
Lorient away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-6-8
- Win rate
- 12%
- Goals for / match
- 0.81
- Goals against / match
- 1.62
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 16
League matches this season before kick-off: Metz at home only, Lorient away only.
Metz vs Lorient head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Metz 1 · draws 1 · Lorient 1.
33%
33%
34%
MetzDrawsLorient
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | Lorient | 1-1 | Metz | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-02-04 | Metz | 1-2 | Lorient | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-11-26 | Lorient | 2-3 | Metz | Ligue 1 |
Before and after this match
- Metz, previous: Metz – Monaco, 2026-05-03
- Metz, next: Nice v Metz analysis
- Lorient, previous: Paris Saint Germain vs Lorient prediction
- Lorient, next: Lorient vs Le Havre: odds and pick