Why this pick: Toulouse vs Marseille
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Toulouse 10, Marseille 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
ToulouseMarseille
1.36
xG per 90
1.74
1.28
npxG per 90
1.59
12.9
PPDA
11.7
7.2
Deep completions per 90
7.6
1.61
xPTS per 90
1.33
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Toulouse and Marseille recent form
Toulouse
1W 2D 3L
Marseille
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Toulouse at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-5-3
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 12
Marseille away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-1-6
- Win rate
- 42%
- Goals for / match
- 1.58
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 12
League matches this season before kick-off: Toulouse at home only, Marseille away only.
Toulouse vs Marseille head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Toulouse 0 · draws 4 · Marseille 2.
0%
67%
33%
ToulouseDrawsMarseille
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Marseille | 2-2 | Toulouse | Coupe de France |
| 2025-11-29 | Marseille | 2-2 | Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| 2025-04-06 | Marseille | 3-2 | Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-08-31 | Toulouse | 1-3 | Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-04-21 | Toulouse | 2-2 | Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-09-17 | Marseille | 0-0 | Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
Before and after this match
- Toulouse, previous: Rennes vs Toulouse: odds and pick
- Toulouse, next: Metz v Toulouse analysis
- Marseille, previous: Marseille v Lyon analysis
- Marseille, next: Marseille vs Auxerre prediction