Why this pick: Bournemouth vs Burnley
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Bournemouth 10, Burnley 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
BournemouthBurnley
1.66
xG per 90
1.15
1.51
npxG per 90
0.99
9.4
PPDA
13.6
7.9
Deep completions per 90
4.4
1.41
xPTS per 90
0.70
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Bournemouth and Burnley recent form
Bournemouth
0W 3D 3L
Burnley
0W 0D 6L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Bournemouth at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-3-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 0.62
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 8
Burnley away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-7
- Win rate
- 12%
- Goals for / match
- 1.38
- Goals against / match
- 2.88
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 8
League matches this season before kick-off: Bournemouth at home only, Burnley away only.
Bournemouth vs Burnley head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Bournemouth 2 · draws 0 · Burnley 0.
100%
0%
0%
BournemouthDrawsBurnley
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-03 | Burnley | 0-2 | Bournemouth | Premier League |
| 2023-10-28 | Bournemouth | 2-1 | Burnley | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Bournemouth, previous: Manchester United vs Bournemouth prediction
- Bournemouth, next: Brentford v Bournemouth analysis
- Burnley, previous: Burnley – Fulham, 2025-12-13
- Burnley, next: Burnley vs Everton: odds and pick