Why this pick: Brentford vs Burnley
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Brentford 10, Burnley 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
BrentfordBurnley
1.94
xG per 90
0.89
1.56
npxG per 90
0.89
14.2
PPDA
14.2
6.1
Deep completions per 90
3.5
1.83
xPTS per 90
0.46
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Brentford and Burnley recent form
Brentford
4W 0D 2L
Burnley
2W 0D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Brentford at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.17
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
Burnley away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-5
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 3.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
League matches this season before kick-off: Brentford at home only, Burnley away only.
Brentford vs Burnley head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Brentford 1 · draws 0 · Burnley 1.
50%
0%
50%
BrentfordDrawsBurnley
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-16 | Burnley | 2-1 | Brentford | Premier League |
| 2023-10-21 | Brentford | 3-0 | Burnley | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Brentford, previous: Brighton – Brentford, 2025-11-22
- Brentford, next: Arsenal v Brentford analysis
- Burnley, previous: Burnley vs Chelsea: odds and pick
- Burnley, next: Burnley vs Crystal Palace prediction