Why this pick: Brentford vs Leeds
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Brentford 10, Leeds 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
BrentfordLeeds
2.08
xG per 90
1.65
1.70
npxG per 90
1.48
12.8
PPDA
12.6
6.2
Deep completions per 90
3.9
1.77
xPTS per 90
1.56
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Brentford and Leeds recent form
Brentford
2W 0D 4L
Leeds
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Brentford at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-1-1
- Win rate
- 71%
- Goals for / match
- 2.14
- Goals against / match
- 1.14
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
Leeds away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-6
- Win rate
- 14%
- Goals for / match
- 0.86
- Goals against / match
- 2.57
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 7
League matches this season before kick-off: Brentford at home only, Leeds away only.
Before and after this match
- Brentford, previous: Tottenham v Brentford analysis
- Brentford, next: Wolverhampton Wanderers – Brentford, 2025-12-20
- Leeds, previous: Leeds vs Liverpool: odds and pick
- Leeds, next: Leeds vs Crystal Palace prediction