Why this pick: Burnley vs Arsenal
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Burnley 10, Arsenal 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
BurnleyArsenal
0.85
xG per 90
1.86
0.85
npxG per 90
1.71
14.5
PPDA
11.1
3.6
Deep completions per 90
9.3
0.59
xPTS per 90
2.14
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Burnley and Arsenal recent form
Burnley
2W 1D 3L
Arsenal
6W 0D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Burnley at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
Arsenal away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
League matches this season before kick-off: Burnley at home only, Arsenal away only.
Burnley vs Arsenal head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Burnley 0 · draws 0 · Arsenal 2.
0%
0%
100%
BurnleyDrawsArsenal
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-17 | Burnley | 0-5 | Arsenal | Premier League |
| 2023-11-11 | Arsenal | 3-1 | Burnley | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Burnley, next: West Ham vs Burnley: odds and pick
- Arsenal, next: Sunderland vs Arsenal prediction