Why this pick: Burnley vs Tottenham
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Burnley 10, Tottenham 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
BurnleyTottenham
0.99
xG per 90
1.24
0.83
npxG per 90
1.24
13.2
PPDA
12.8
4.5
Deep completions per 90
6.2
0.72
xPTS per 90
1.43
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Burnley and Tottenham recent form
Burnley
1W 3D 2L
Tottenham
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Burnley at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-6
- Win rate
- 18%
- Goals for / match
- 0.91
- Goals against / match
- 1.36
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 11
Tottenham away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-3-3
- Win rate
- 45%
- Goals for / match
- 1.64
- Goals against / match
- 1.36
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 11
League matches this season before kick-off: Burnley at home only, Tottenham away only.
Burnley vs Tottenham head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Burnley 0 · draws 0 · Tottenham 3.
0%
0%
100%
BurnleyDrawsTottenham
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-16 | Tottenham | 3-0 | Burnley | Premier League |
| 2024-05-11 | Tottenham | 2-1 | Burnley | Premier League |
| 2023-09-02 | Burnley | 2-5 | Tottenham | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Burnley, previous: Liverpool v Burnley analysis
- Burnley, next: Sunderland vs Burnley prediction
- Tottenham, previous: Tottenham vs West Ham prediction
- Tottenham, next: Tottenham vs Manchester City: odds and pick