Why this pick: AC Milan vs Lazio
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (AC Milan 10, Lazio 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
AC MilanLazio
1.67
xG per 90
1.09
1.44
npxG per 90
1.02
18.9
PPDA
15.9
6.9
Deep completions per 90
3.3
1.74
xPTS per 90
1.08
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
AC Milan and Lazio recent form
AC Milan
3W 3D 0L
Lazio
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
AC Milan at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
Lazio away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-3
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.83
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 6
League matches this season before kick-off: AC Milan at home only, Lazio away only.
AC Milan vs Lazio head-to-head
Last 7 meetings: AC Milan 4 · draws 1 · Lazio 2.
57%
14%
29%
AC MilanDrawsLazio
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-02 | AC Milan | 1-2 | Lazio | Serie A |
| 2024-08-31 | Lazio | 2-2 | AC Milan | Serie A |
| 2024-03-01 | Lazio | 0-1 | AC Milan | Serie A |
| 2023-09-30 | AC Milan | 2-0 | Lazio | Serie A |
| 2023-05-06 | AC Milan | 2-0 | Lazio | Serie A |
| 2023-01-24 | Lazio | 4-0 | AC Milan | Serie A |
| 2022-04-24 | Lazio | 1-2 | AC Milan | Serie A |
Before and after this match
- AC Milan, previous: Inter vs AC Milan prediction
- AC Milan, next: Torino v AC Milan analysis
- Lazio, previous: Lazio vs Lecce: odds and pick
- Lazio, next: Lazio v Bologna analysis