Why this pick: Atalanta vs AC Milan
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Atalanta 10, AC Milan 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
AtalantaAC Milan
1.76
xG per 90
1.74
1.76
npxG per 90
1.58
13.2
PPDA
16.4
9.8
Deep completions per 90
9.4
1.79
xPTS per 90
2.08
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Atalanta and AC Milan recent form
Atalanta
1W 5D 0L
AC Milan
4W 2D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Atalanta at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-0
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
AC Milan away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-0
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 3
League matches this season before kick-off: Atalanta at home only, AC Milan away only.
Atalanta vs AC Milan head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Atalanta 4 · draws 2 · AC Milan 2.
50%
25%
25%
AtalantaDrawsAC Milan
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-20 | AC Milan | 0-1 | Atalanta | Serie A |
| 2024-12-06 | Atalanta | 2-1 | AC Milan | Serie A |
| 2024-02-25 | AC Milan | 1-1 | Atalanta | Serie A |
| 2024-01-10 | AC Milan | 1-2 | Atalanta | Coppa Italia |
| 2023-12-09 | Atalanta | 3-2 | AC Milan | Serie A |
| 2023-02-26 | AC Milan | 2-0 | Atalanta | Serie A |
| 2022-08-21 | Atalanta | 1-1 | AC Milan | Serie A |
| 2022-05-15 | AC Milan | 2-0 | Atalanta | Serie A |
Before and after this match
- Atalanta, next: Udinese – Atalanta, 2025-11-01
- AC Milan, next: AC Milan vs Roma prediction