Why this pick: Atalanta vs Fiorentina
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Atalanta 10, Fiorentina 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
AtalantaFiorentina
1.40
xG per 90
1.27
1.40
npxG per 90
1.05
13.0
PPDA
11.6
8.1
Deep completions per 90
3.8
1.53
xPTS per 90
1.00
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Atalanta and Fiorentina recent form
Atalanta
2W 1D 3L
Fiorentina
0W 2D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Atalanta at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-4-1
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 1.17
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
Fiorentina away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-4-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
League matches this season before kick-off: Atalanta at home only, Fiorentina away only.
Atalanta vs Fiorentina head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Atalanta 3 · draws 1 · Fiorentina 4.
38%
12%
50%
AtalantaDrawsFiorentina
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-30 | Fiorentina | 1-0 | Atalanta | Serie A |
| 2024-09-15 | Atalanta | 3-2 | Fiorentina | Serie A |
| 2024-06-02 | Atalanta | 2-3 | Fiorentina | Serie A |
| 2024-04-24 | Atalanta | 4-1 | Fiorentina | Coppa Italia |
| 2024-04-03 | Fiorentina | 1-0 | Atalanta | Coppa Italia |
| 2023-09-17 | Fiorentina | 3-2 | Atalanta | Serie A |
| 2023-04-17 | Fiorentina | 1-1 | Atalanta | Serie A |
| 2022-10-02 | Atalanta | 1-0 | Fiorentina | Serie A |
Before and after this match
- Atalanta, previous: Napoli vs Atalanta prediction
- Atalanta, next: Verona vs Atalanta: odds and pick
- Fiorentina, previous: Fiorentina vs Juventus: odds and pick
- Fiorentina, next: Sassuolo – Fiorentina, 2025-12-06