Why this pick: Atalanta vs Roma
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Atalanta 10, Roma 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
AtalantaRoma
1.48
xG per 90
1.47
1.40
npxG per 90
1.32
10.9
PPDA
9.3
7.6
Deep completions per 90
10.1
1.42
xPTS per 90
1.40
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Atalanta and Roma recent form
Atalanta
4W 0D 2L
Roma
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Atalanta at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-4-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.22
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 9
Roma away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-0-3
- Win rate
- 62%
- Goals for / match
- 1.12
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 8
League matches this season before kick-off: Atalanta at home only, Roma away only.
Atalanta vs Roma head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Atalanta 5 · draws 1 · Roma 2.
62%
12%
26%
AtalantaDrawsRoma
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-12 | Atalanta | 2-1 | Roma | Serie A |
| 2024-12-02 | Roma | 0-2 | Atalanta | Serie A |
| 2024-05-12 | Atalanta | 2-1 | Roma | Serie A |
| 2024-01-07 | Roma | 1-1 | Atalanta | Serie A |
| 2023-04-24 | Atalanta | 3-1 | Roma | Serie A |
| 2022-09-18 | Roma | 0-1 | Atalanta | Serie A |
| 2022-03-05 | Roma | 1-0 | Atalanta | Serie A |
| 2021-12-18 | Atalanta | 1-4 | Roma | Serie A |
Before and after this match
- Atalanta, previous: Atalanta vs Inter: odds and pick
- Atalanta, next: Bologna v Atalanta analysis
- Roma, previous: Roma vs Genoa prediction
- Roma, next: Lecce vs Roma prediction