Why this pick: Bologna vs AC Milan
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Bologna 10, AC Milan 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
BolognaAC Milan
1.13
xG per 90
1.85
1.06
npxG per 90
1.70
9.9
PPDA
14.1
5.3
Deep completions per 90
7.8
0.97
xPTS per 90
1.81
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Bologna and AC Milan recent form
Bologna
2W 2D 2L
AC Milan
3W 3D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Bologna at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-4
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
AC Milan away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-5-0
- Win rate
- 55%
- Goals for / match
- 1.64
- Goals against / match
- 0.73
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 11
League matches this season before kick-off: Bologna at home only, AC Milan away only.
Bologna vs AC Milan head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Bologna 2 · draws 3 · AC Milan 4.
22%
33%
45%
BolognaDrawsAC Milan
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-14 | AC Milan | 1-0 | Bologna | Serie A |
| 2025-05-14 | AC Milan | 0-1 | Bologna | Coppa Italia |
| 2025-05-09 | AC Milan | 3-1 | Bologna | Serie A |
| 2025-02-27 | Bologna | 2-1 | AC Milan | Serie A |
| 2024-01-27 | AC Milan | 2-2 | Bologna | Serie A |
| 2023-08-21 | Bologna | 0-2 | AC Milan | Serie A |
| 2023-04-15 | Bologna | 1-1 | AC Milan | Serie A |
| 2022-08-27 | AC Milan | 2-0 | Bologna | Serie A |
| 2022-04-04 | AC Milan | 0-0 | Bologna | Serie A |
Before and after this match
- Bologna, previous: Genoa vs Bologna: odds and pick
- Bologna, next: Bologna vs Parma Calcio 1913 prediction
- AC Milan, previous: Roma – AC Milan, 2026-01-25
- AC Milan, next: Pisa v AC Milan analysis