Why this pick: Fiorentina vs Lecce
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Fiorentina 10, Lecce 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
FiorentinaLecce
1.48
xG per 90
0.82
1.32
npxG per 90
0.74
10.7
PPDA
13.9
3.2
Deep completions per 90
3.4
1.17
xPTS per 90
0.87
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Fiorentina and Lecce recent form
Fiorentina
2W 1D 3L
Lecce
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Fiorentina at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 2.25
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
Lecce away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
League matches this season before kick-off: Fiorentina at home only, Lecce away only.
Fiorentina vs Lecce head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Fiorentina 2 · draws 1 · Lecce 1.
50%
25%
25%
FiorentinaDrawsLecce
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-28 | Fiorentina | 1-0 | Lecce | Serie A |
| 2024-10-20 | Lecce | 0-6 | Fiorentina | Serie A |
| 2024-02-02 | Lecce | 3-2 | Fiorentina | Serie A |
| 2023-08-27 | Fiorentina | 2-2 | Lecce | Serie A |
Before and after this match
- Fiorentina, previous: Inter v Fiorentina analysis
- Fiorentina, next: Genoa v Fiorentina analysis
- Lecce, previous: Lecce vs Napoli: odds and pick
- Lecce, next: Lecce – Verona, 2025-11-08