Why this pick: Inter vs Atalanta
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Inter 10, Atalanta 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
InterAtalanta
2.57
xG per 90
2.31
2.34
npxG per 90
2.16
9.5
PPDA
11.3
13.2
Deep completions per 90
10.2
2.47
xPTS per 90
1.84
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Inter and Atalanta recent form
Inter
2W 1D 3L
Atalanta
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Inter at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 11-1-2
- Win rate
- 79%
- Goals for / match
- 2.71
- Goals against / match
- 0.86
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 14
Atalanta away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-5-4
- Win rate
- 31%
- Goals for / match
- 1.15
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 13
League matches this season before kick-off: Inter at home only, Atalanta away only.
Inter vs Atalanta head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Inter 5 · draws 0 · Atalanta 0.
100%
0%
0%
InterDrawsAtalanta
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-28 | Atalanta | 0-1 | Inter | Serie A |
| 2025-03-16 | Atalanta | 0-2 | Inter | Serie A |
| 2024-08-30 | Inter | 4-0 | Atalanta | Serie A |
| 2024-02-28 | Inter | 4-0 | Atalanta | Serie A |
| 2023-11-04 | Atalanta | 1-2 | Inter | Serie A |
Before and after this match
- Inter, previous: AC Milan – Inter, 2026-03-08
- Inter, next: Fiorentina v Inter analysis
- Atalanta, previous: Atalanta vs Udinese: odds and pick
- Atalanta, next: Atalanta vs Verona: odds and pick