Why this pick: Lazio vs AC Milan
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Lazio 10, AC Milan 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
LazioAC Milan
1.30
xG per 90
2.02
1.07
npxG per 90
1.80
19.9
PPDA
13.9
6.0
Deep completions per 90
6.5
1.34
xPTS per 90
1.73
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Lazio and AC Milan recent form
Lazio
1W 3D 2L
AC Milan
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Lazio at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-4-4
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.43
- Goals against / match
- 1.21
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 14
AC Milan away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-5-0
- Win rate
- 64%
- Goals for / match
- 1.79
- Goals against / match
- 0.64
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 14
League matches this season before kick-off: Lazio at home only, AC Milan away only.
Lazio vs AC Milan head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Lazio 3 · draws 1 · AC Milan 5.
33%
11%
56%
LazioDrawsAC Milan
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 | Lazio | 1-0 | AC Milan | Coppa Italia |
| 2025-11-29 | AC Milan | 1-0 | Lazio | Serie A |
| 2025-03-02 | AC Milan | 1-2 | Lazio | Serie A |
| 2024-08-31 | Lazio | 2-2 | AC Milan | Serie A |
| 2024-03-01 | Lazio | 0-1 | AC Milan | Serie A |
| 2023-09-30 | AC Milan | 2-0 | Lazio | Serie A |
| 2023-05-06 | AC Milan | 2-0 | Lazio | Serie A |
| 2023-01-24 | Lazio | 4-0 | AC Milan | Serie A |
| 2022-04-24 | Lazio | 1-2 | AC Milan | Serie A |
Before and after this match
- Lazio, previous: Lazio v Sassuolo analysis
- Lazio, next: Bologna vs Lazio prediction
- AC Milan, previous: AC Milan – Inter, 2026-03-08
- AC Milan, next: AC Milan vs Torino prediction