Why this pick: Lecce vs Atalanta
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Lecce 10, Atalanta 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
LecceAtalanta
0.96
xG per 90
2.18
0.88
npxG per 90
2.03
13.6
PPDA
12.9
3.1
Deep completions per 90
9.6
1.03
xPTS per 90
1.72
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Lecce and Atalanta recent form
Lecce
2W 0D 4L
Atalanta
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Lecce at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-4-7
- Win rate
- 27%
- Goals for / match
- 0.73
- Goals against / match
- 1.27
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 15
Atalanta away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-6-4
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.14
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 14
League matches this season before kick-off: Lecce at home only, Atalanta away only.
Lecce vs Atalanta head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Lecce 0 · draws 1 · Atalanta 4.
0%
20%
80%
LecceDrawsAtalanta
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-14 | Atalanta | 4-1 | Lecce | Serie A |
| 2025-04-27 | Atalanta | 1-1 | Lecce | Serie A |
| 2024-08-19 | Lecce | 0-4 | Atalanta | Serie A |
| 2024-05-18 | Lecce | 0-2 | Atalanta | Serie A |
| 2023-12-30 | Atalanta | 1-0 | Lecce | Serie A |
Before and after this match
- Lecce, previous: Roma – Lecce, 2026-03-22
- Lecce, next: Bologna vs Lecce prediction
- Atalanta, previous: Atalanta vs Verona: odds and pick
- Atalanta, next: Atalanta – Juventus, 2026-04-11