Why this pick: Lecce vs Fiorentina
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Lecce 10, Fiorentina 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
LecceFiorentina
0.97
xG per 90
1.12
0.89
npxG per 90
1.04
12.4
PPDA
19.8
3.5
Deep completions per 90
4.8
0.93
xPTS per 90
1.31
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Lecce and Fiorentina recent form
Lecce
1W 0D 5L
Fiorentina
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Lecce at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-4-8
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.69
- Goals against / match
- 1.38
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 16
Fiorentina away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-5-7
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.06
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 16
League matches this season before kick-off: Lecce at home only, Fiorentina away only.
Lecce vs Fiorentina head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Lecce 2 · draws 1 · Fiorentina 2.
40%
20%
40%
LecceDrawsFiorentina
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-02 | Fiorentina | 0-1 | Lecce | Serie A |
| 2025-02-28 | Fiorentina | 1-0 | Lecce | Serie A |
| 2024-10-20 | Lecce | 0-6 | Fiorentina | Serie A |
| 2024-02-02 | Lecce | 3-2 | Fiorentina | Serie A |
| 2023-08-27 | Fiorentina | 2-2 | Lecce | Serie A |
Before and after this match
- Lecce, previous: Bologna vs Lecce prediction
- Lecce, next: Verona vs Lecce prediction
- Fiorentina, previous: Fiorentina v Lazio analysis
- Fiorentina, next: Fiorentina – Sassuolo, 2026-04-26