Why this pick: Napoli vs AC Milan
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Napoli 10, AC Milan 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
NapoliAC Milan
1.38
xG per 90
1.94
1.31
npxG per 90
1.79
11.1
PPDA
12.8
7.3
Deep completions per 90
7.8
1.56
xPTS per 90
1.77
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Napoli and AC Milan recent form
Napoli
4W 1D 1L
AC Milan
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Napoli at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 10-4-0
- Win rate
- 71%
- Goals for / match
- 1.79
- Goals against / match
- 0.93
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 14
AC Milan away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-5-1
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 15
League matches this season before kick-off: Napoli at home only, AC Milan away only.
Napoli vs AC Milan head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Napoli 2 · draws 1 · AC Milan 2.
40%
20%
40%
NapoliDrawsAC Milan
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-28 | AC Milan | 2-1 | Napoli | Serie A |
| 2025-03-30 | Napoli | 2-1 | AC Milan | Serie A |
| 2024-10-29 | AC Milan | 0-2 | Napoli | Serie A |
| 2024-02-11 | AC Milan | 1-0 | Napoli | Serie A |
| 2023-10-29 | Napoli | 2-2 | AC Milan | Serie A |
Before and after this match
- Napoli, previous: Cagliari – Napoli, 2026-03-20
- Napoli, next: Parma Calcio 1913 vs Napoli: odds and pick
- AC Milan, previous: AC Milan vs Torino prediction
- AC Milan, next: AC Milan vs Udinese prediction