Why this pick: Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Borussia Dortmund 10, Bayern Munich 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
Borussia DortmundBayern Munich
2.16
xG per 90
3.41
1.85
npxG per 90
3.10
12.5
PPDA
9.6
10.0
Deep completions per 90
12.5
1.87
xPTS per 90
2.30
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Borussia Dortmund and Bayern Munich recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Borussia Dortmund at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-2-0
- Win rate
- 82%
- Goals for / match
- 2.36
- Goals against / match
- 0.73
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 11
Bayern Munich away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-2-0
- Win rate
- 82%
- Goals for / match
- 3.36
- Goals against / match
- 0.82
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 11
League matches this season before kick-off: Borussia Dortmund at home only, Bayern Munich away only.
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Borussia Dortmund 1 · draws 2 · Bayern Munich 2.
20%
40%
40%
Borussia DortmundDrawsBayern Munich
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-18 | Bayern Munich | 2-1 | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga |
| 2025-04-12 | Bayern Munich | 2-2 | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga |
| 2024-11-30 | Borussia Dortmund | 1-1 | Bayern Munich | Bundesliga |
| 2024-03-30 | Bayern Munich | 0-2 | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga |
| 2023-11-04 | Borussia Dortmund | 0-4 | Bayern Munich | Bundesliga |
Before and after this match
- Borussia Dortmund, previous: RasenBallsport Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund: odds and pick
- Borussia Dortmund, next: FC Cologne vs Borussia Dortmund: odds and pick
- Bayern Munich, previous: Bayern Munich vs Eintracht Frankfurt: odds and pick
- Bayern Munich, next: Bayern Munich – Borussia M.Gladbach, 2026-03-06