Why this pick: RasenBallsport Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (RasenBallsport Leipzig 10, Borussia Dortmund 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
RasenBallsport LeipzigBorussia Dortmund
2.35
xG per 90
2.13
2.28
npxG per 90
1.83
12.5
PPDA
12.9
9.7
Deep completions per 90
9.7
1.81
xPTS per 90
1.95
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
RasenBallsport Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
RasenBallsport Leipzig at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-1-3
- Win rate
- 64%
- Goals for / match
- 2.27
- Goals against / match
- 1.36
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 11
Borussia Dortmund away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-4-1
- Win rate
- 55%
- Goals for / match
- 1.91
- Goals against / match
- 1.09
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 11
League matches this season before kick-off: RasenBallsport Leipzig at home only, Borussia Dortmund away only.
RasenBallsport Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: RasenBallsport Leipzig 3 · draws 1 · Borussia Dortmund 1.
60%
20%
20%
RasenBallsport LeipzigDrawsBorussia Dortmund
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-04 | Borussia Dortmund | 1-1 | RasenBallsport Leipzig | Bundesliga |
| 2025-03-15 | RasenBallsport Leipzig | 2-0 | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga |
| 2024-11-02 | Borussia Dortmund | 2-1 | RasenBallsport Leipzig | Bundesliga |
| 2024-04-27 | RasenBallsport Leipzig | 4-1 | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga |
| 2023-12-09 | Borussia Dortmund | 2-3 | RasenBallsport Leipzig | Bundesliga |
Before and after this match
- RasenBallsport Leipzig, previous: RasenBallsport Leipzig – Wolfsburg, 2026-02-15
- RasenBallsport Leipzig, next: Hamburger SV vs RasenBallsport Leipzig: odds and pick
- Borussia Dortmund, previous: Borussia Dortmund – Mainz 05, 2026-02-13
- Borussia Dortmund, next: Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich prediction