Why this pick: Hoffenheim vs Mainz 05
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Hoffenheim 10, Mainz 05 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
HoffenheimMainz 05
1.82
xG per 90
2.32
1.75
npxG per 90
1.94
8.6
PPDA
17.8
8.8
Deep completions per 90
6.2
1.66
xPTS per 90
1.83
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Hoffenheim and Mainz 05 recent form
Hoffenheim
2W 2D 2L
Mainz 05
3W 3D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Hoffenheim at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-1-4
- Win rate
- 62%
- Goals for / match
- 2.15
- Goals against / match
- 1.15
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 13
Mainz 05 away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-4-6
- Win rate
- 23%
- Goals for / match
- 1.23
- Goals against / match
- 1.92
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 13
League matches this season before kick-off: Hoffenheim at home only, Mainz 05 away only.
Hoffenheim vs Mainz 05 head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Hoffenheim 1 · draws 2 · Mainz 05 2.
20%
40%
40%
HoffenheimDrawsMainz 05
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-21 | Mainz 05 | 1-1 | Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
| 2025-04-12 | Hoffenheim | 2-0 | Mainz 05 | Bundesliga |
| 2024-12-01 | Mainz 05 | 2-0 | Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
| 2024-04-13 | Mainz 05 | 4-1 | Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
| 2023-11-26 | Hoffenheim | 1-1 | Mainz 05 | Bundesliga |
Before and after this match
- Hoffenheim, previous: RasenBallsport Leipzig vs Hoffenheim: odds and pick
- Hoffenheim, next: Augsburg – Hoffenheim, 2026-04-10
- Mainz 05, previous: Mainz 05 – Eintracht Frankfurt, 2026-03-22
- Mainz 05, next: Mainz 05 – Freiburg, 2026-04-12