Why this pick: Mainz 05 vs Freiburg
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Mainz 05 10, Freiburg 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
Mainz 05Freiburg
2.35
xG per 90
1.53
1.97
npxG per 90
1.45
18.4
PPDA
13.7
6.0
Deep completions per 90
3.8
1.92
xPTS per 90
1.22
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Mainz 05 and Freiburg recent form
Mainz 05
5W 1D 0L
Freiburg
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Mainz 05 at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-5-5
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.21
- Goals against / match
- 1.21
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 14
Freiburg away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-3-8
- Win rate
- 21%
- Goals for / match
- 1.07
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 14
League matches this season before kick-off: Mainz 05 at home only, Freiburg away only.
Mainz 05 vs Freiburg head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Mainz 05 0 · draws 3 · Freiburg 2.
0%
60%
40%
Mainz 05DrawsFreiburg
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 | Freiburg | 4-0 | Mainz 05 | Bundesliga |
| 2025-03-15 | Mainz 05 | 2-2 | Freiburg | Bundesliga |
| 2024-11-03 | Freiburg | 0-0 | Mainz 05 | Bundesliga |
| 2024-04-21 | Freiburg | 1-1 | Mainz 05 | Bundesliga |
| 2023-12-03 | Mainz 05 | 0-1 | Freiburg | Bundesliga |
Before and after this match
- Mainz 05, previous: Hoffenheim vs Mainz 05 prediction
- Mainz 05, next: Borussia M.Gladbach v Mainz 05 analysis
- Freiburg, previous: Freiburg v Bayern Munich analysis
- Freiburg, next: Freiburg vs FC Heidenheim prediction