Why this pick: Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Mainz 05 10, Bayern Munich 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
Mainz 05Bayern Munich
1.95
xG per 90
3.51
1.72
npxG per 90
3.13
18.5
PPDA
8.9
6.7
Deep completions per 90
14.9
1.81
xPTS per 90
2.23
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Mainz 05 and Bayern Munich recent form
Mainz 05
3W 1D 2L
Bayern Munich
6W 0D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Mainz 05 at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-5-6
- Win rate
- 27%
- Goals for / match
- 1.13
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 15
Bayern Munich away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 12-3-0
- Win rate
- 80%
- Goals for / match
- 3.27
- Goals against / match
- 0.93
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 15
League matches this season before kick-off: Mainz 05 at home only, Bayern Munich away only.
Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Mainz 05 1 · draws 1 · Bayern Munich 3.
20%
20%
60%
Mainz 05DrawsBayern Munich
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | Bayern Munich | 2-2 | Mainz 05 | Bundesliga |
| 2025-04-26 | Bayern Munich | 3-0 | Mainz 05 | Bundesliga |
| 2024-12-14 | Mainz 05 | 2-1 | Bayern Munich | Bundesliga |
| 2024-03-09 | Bayern Munich | 8-1 | Mainz 05 | Bundesliga |
| 2023-10-21 | Mainz 05 | 1-3 | Bayern Munich | Bundesliga |
Before and after this match
- Mainz 05, previous: Borussia M.Gladbach v Mainz 05 analysis
- Mainz 05, next: St. Pauli v Mainz 05 analysis
- Bayern Munich, previous: Bayern Munich – VfB Stuttgart, 2026-04-19
- Bayern Munich, next: Bayern Munich vs FC Heidenheim prediction